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GSW@
LAL
LJ Cryer
G · San Francisco Warriors
6'0"· 24 years old
GSWLALMontolo Projects
1.6
PTS
0.3
REB
0.2
AST
0.4
3PM
3.1
MIN
2.0
PRA
0.0
STL
0.0
BLK
0.1
TOV
0.3
PF
68%Projection Support
Minutes56%Role100%Availability65%Stat Stability31%Recent Sample100%
Matchup Context
Position Environment
LAL vs SG
How LAL has defended the SG position recently.
7.6
PTS allowed
1.9
REB allowed
1.9
AST allowed
1.3
3PM allowed
Based on 111 opposing SG performances across 20 recent games.
Research
PTS · Last 10
Stat
Period
Split
Situation (Rest)
Playing Time
Role
8.8
Average PTS
10
Games
17
High PTS
0
Low PTS
Historical Hit RateModel
15+ PTS
10%
1/10 historical
2%
model
20+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
25+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
30+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
35+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
40+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
Historical = actual results in the selected games. Model = the projection engine's calibrated probability for tonight — two different things, never combined.
Recent RoleProvisional10 games
CreationNot enough data0.11
Offensive LoadNot enough data0.20
Frontcourt LoadNot enough data0.01
Not enough historical data to compare recent role against this player's own baseline.
Sample: 10 games · Updated Sep 14. Describes role, not player quality — not a projection input.
Why This Projection
Minutes
- Blending in 0 current-season game(s) (30% last-10 + 70% season)+17.1
- 358mi travel, 187 day rest-0.0
- No minutes — team's 240-minute regulation budget already spoken for by the rotation ahead-17.0
- Rotation-entry adjustment (p_entry=86%)+3.1
PTS
- Season/recent-form rate x minutes+1.6
Projection Distribution · PTS
Model projection rangenot a guarantee
0.010.2
0.0
P10
Projection Accuracy · PTS
ProjectedActual
No evaluated games yet.
This fills in once the model's pregame projections have been checked against final box scores.
Historical Model Performance
How the model's pregame projections have compared to this player's actual results in 0 evaluated games.
No evaluated games yet for this player.
MilestonesModel probability & fair odds▾
Model Fair Odds are the theoretical American odds implied by our calibrated probability. They are not sportsbook prices.
MilestoneProbabilityFair Odds
PTS
- 15+ PTS2%+4263
- 20+ PTS0%+32643
- 25+ PTS0%+99900
- 30+ PTS0%+99900
- 35+ PTS0%+99900
- 40+ PTS0%+99900
REB