← Back to Players
PHI@
NYK
MarJon Beauchamp
F · Philadelphia 76ers
6'7"· 199 lbs· 25 years old
PHINYKMontolo Projects
0.0
PTS
0.0
REB
0.0
AST
0.0
3PM
0.0
MIN
0.0
PRA
0.0
STL
0.0
BLK
0.0
TOV
0.0
PF
54%Projection Support
Minutes11%Role100%Availability65%Stat Stability28%Recent Sample100%
Matchup Context
Position Environment
NYK vs PF
How NYK has defended the PF position recently.
9.2
PTS allowed
3.9
REB allowed
1.5
AST allowed
1.1
3PM allowed
Based on 77 opposing PF performances across 20 recent games.
Research
PTS · Last 10
Stat
Period
Split
Situation (Rest)
Playing Time
Role
5.2
Average PTS
10
Games
16
High PTS
0
Low PTS
Historical Hit RateModel
15+ PTS
10%
1/10 historical
1%
model
20+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
25+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
30+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
35+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
40+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
Historical = actual results in the selected games. Model = the projection engine's calibrated probability for tonight — two different things, never combined.
Recent Role20 games
CreationIncreasing0.13vs 0.08 usual
Offensive LoadIncreasing0.27vs 0.21 usual
Frontcourt LoadStable0.05vs 0.05 usual
Creation responsibility has increased and Offensive load has increased relative to this player's own recent baseline. Other role indicators are stable.
Sample: 20 games · Updated Sep 14. Describes role, not player quality — not a projection input.
Why This Projection
Minutes
- Blending in 0 current-season game(s) (30% last-10 + 70% season)+13.5
- 85mi travel, 163 day rest-0.0
- No minutes — team's 240-minute regulation budget already spoken for by the rotation ahead-13.5
PTS
- Season/recent-form rate x minutes+0.0
Recent role context: Creation responsibility is above this player's own recent baseline, while Offensive Load is above its own recent baseline.
Projection Distribution · PTS
Model projection rangenot a guarantee
0.08.2
0.0
P10
0.0
Projection Accuracy · PTS
ProjectedActual
Historical Model Performance
How the model's pregame projections have compared to this player's actual results in 20 evaluated games.
PTS
MAE2.4
Bias+0.7
Median AE1.5
20 evaluated games
REB
MAE1.4
Bias+0.4
MilestonesModel probability & fair odds▾
Model Fair Odds are the theoretical American odds implied by our calibrated probability. They are not sportsbook prices.
MilestoneProbabilityFair Odds
PTS
- 15+ PTS1%+10392
- 20+ PTS0%+99900
- 25+ PTS0%+99900
- 30+ PTS0%+99900
- 35+ PTS0%+99900
- 40+ PTS0%+99900
REB