← Back to Players
UTA@
MEM
Hayden Gray
G · Utah Jazz
6'4"· 190 lbs· 23 years old
UTAMEMWed, Oct 21 · 12:00 AM
View game →Montolo Projects
0.0
PTS
0.0
REB
0.0
AST
0.0
3PM
0.0
MIN
0.0
PRA
0.0
STL
0.0
BLK
0.0
TOV
0.0
PF
60%Projection Support
Minutes100%Role10%Availability65%Stat Stability70%Recent Sample10%
Matchup Context
Position Environment
MEM vs SG
How MEM has defended the SG position recently.
10.5
PTS allowed
3.1
REB allowed
3.0
AST allowed
1.5
3PM allowed
Based on 82 opposing SG performances across 20 recent games.
Research
PTS · Last 10
Stat
Period
Split
Situation (Rest)
Playing Time
Role
6.0
Average PTS
1
Games
6
High PTS
6
Low PTS
Historical Hit RateModel
15+ PTS
0%
0/1 historical
0%
model
20+ PTS
0%
0/1 historical
0%
model
25+ PTS
0%
0/1 historical
0%
model
30+ PTS
0%
0/1 historical
0%
model
35+ PTS
0%
0/1 historical
0%
model
40+ PTS
0%
0/1 historical
0%
model
Historical = actual results in the selected games. Model = the projection engine's calibrated probability for tonight — two different things, never combined. Small sample — treat as directional, not definitive.
Why This Projection
1601mi travel
Minutes
- Blending in 0 current-season game(s) (30% last-10 + 70% season)+24.8
- 1601mi travel, 192 day rest-0.1
- No minutes — team's 240-minute regulation budget already spoken for by the rotation ahead-24.6
PTS
- Season/recent-form rate x minutes+0.0
Projection Distribution · PTS
Model projection rangenot a guarantee
0.02.9
0.0
P10
0.0
P25
Projection Accuracy · PTS
ProjectedActual
No evaluated games yet.
This fills in once the model's pregame projections have been checked against final box scores.
Historical Model Performance
How the model's pregame projections have compared to this player's actual results in 0 evaluated games.
No evaluated games yet for this player.
MilestonesModel probability & fair odds▾
Model Fair Odds are the theoretical American odds implied by our calibrated probability. They are not sportsbook prices.
MilestoneProbabilityFair Odds
PTS
- 15+ PTS0%+99900
- 20+ PTS0%—
- 25+ PTS0%—
- 30+ PTS0%—
- 35+ PTS0%—
- 40+ PTS0%—
REB