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CHI@
TOR
Noa Essengue
F · Chicago Bulls
6'8"· 194 lbs· 19 years old
CHITORWed, Oct 21 · 11:30 PM
View game →Montolo Projects
0.0
PTS
0.0
REB
0.0
AST
0.0
3PM
0.0
MIN
0.0
PRA
0.0
STL
0.0
BLK
0.0
TOV
0.0
PF
55%Projection Support
Minutes59%Role20%Availability65%Stat Stability100%Recent Sample20%
Matchup Context
Position Environment
TOR vs PF
How TOR has defended the PF position recently.
8.8
PTS allowed
4.2
REB allowed
1.5
AST allowed
1.0
3PM allowed
Based on 48 opposing PF performances across 20 recent games.
Research
PTS · Last 10
Stat
Period
Split
Situation (Rest)
Playing Time
Role
0.0
Average PTS
2
Games
0
High PTS
0
Low PTS
Historical Hit RateModel
15+ PTS
0%
0/2 historical
0%
model
20+ PTS
0%
0/2 historical
0%
model
25+ PTS
0%
0/2 historical
0%
model
30+ PTS
0%
0/2 historical
0%
model
35+ PTS
0%
0/2 historical
0%
model
40+ PTS
0%
0/2 historical
0%
model
Historical = actual results in the selected games. Model = the projection engine's calibrated probability for tonight — two different things, never combined. Small sample — treat as directional, not definitive.
Why This Projection
1203mi travel
Minutes
- Blending in 0 current-season game(s) (30% last-10 + 70% season)+3.0
- 1203mi travel, 192 day rest-0.1
- No minutes — team's 240-minute regulation budget already spoken for by the rotation ahead-2.9
PTS
- Season/recent-form rate x minutes+0.0
Projection Distribution · PTS
Model projection rangenot a guarantee
0.00.8
0.0
P10
0.0
P25
0.0
Projection Accuracy · PTS
ProjectedActual
Historical Model Performance
How the model's pregame projections have compared to this player's actual results in 1 evaluated game.
PTS
MAE0.0
Bias0.0
Median AE0.0
1 evaluated game
REB
MAE0.0
Bias0.0
Median AE0.0
1 evaluated game
AST
MAE0.0
Bias0.0
Median AE0.0
1 evaluated game
MilestonesModel probability & fair odds▾
Model Fair Odds are the theoretical American odds implied by our calibrated probability. They are not sportsbook prices.
MilestoneProbabilityFair Odds
PTS
- 15+ PTS0%—
- 20+ PTS0%—
- 25+ PTS0%—
- 30+ PTS0%—
- 35+ PTS0%—
- 40+ PTS0%—
REB