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CHA@
BKN
Nolan Traore
G · Brooklyn Nets
6'3"· 185 lbs· 20 years old
CHABKNWed, Oct 21 · 11:30 PM
View game →Montolo Projects
9.8
PTS
2.2
REB
3.9
AST
1.3
3PM
22.4
MIN
15.9
PRA
1.1
STL
0.6
BLK
3.1
TOV
2.2
PF
74%Projection Support
Minutes74%Role100%Availability65%Stat Stability39%Recent Sample100%
Matchup Context
Position Environment
CHA vs SG
How CHA has defended the SG position recently.
8.9
PTS allowed
2.7
REB allowed
2.2
AST allowed
1.3
3PM allowed
Based on 94 opposing SG performances across 20 recent games.
Research
PTS · Last 10
Stat
Period
Split
Situation (Rest)
Playing Time
Role
11.9
Average PTS
10
Games
23
High PTS
0
Low PTS
Historical Hit RateModel
15+ PTS
30%
3/10 historical
23%
model
20+ PTS
10%
1/10 historical
8%
model
25+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
2%
model
30+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
35+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
40+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
Historical = actual results in the selected games. Model = the projection engine's calibrated probability for tonight — two different things, never combined.
Recent Role20 games
CreationIncreasing0.28vs 0.25 usual
Offensive LoadIncreasing0.27vs 0.18 usual
Frontcourt LoadStable0.01vs 0.01 usual
Creation responsibility has increased and Offensive load has increased relative to this player's own recent baseline. Other role indicators are stable.
Sample: 20 games · Updated Sep 14. Describes role, not player quality — not a projection input.
Why This Projection
Minutes
- Blending in 0 current-season game(s) (30% last-10 + 70% season)+22.4
- 344mi travel, 192 day rest-0.0
PTS
- Season/recent-form rate x minutes+10.1
- Team pace vs. league average-0.3
- Opponent defensive rating-0.1
Recent role context: Creation responsibility is above this player's own recent baseline, while Offensive Load is above its own recent baseline.
Projection Distribution · PTS
Model projection rangenot a guarantee
0.718.9
0.7
Projection Accuracy · PTS
ProjectedActual
Historical Model Performance
How the model's pregame projections have compared to this player's actual results in 2 evaluated games.
PTS
MAE2.4
Bias+0.6
Median AE2.4
2 evaluated games
REB
MAE0.6
Bias+0.4
Median AE0.6
2 evaluated games
AST
MAE4.5
Bias+4.5
Median AE4.5
MilestonesModel probability & fair odds▾
Model Fair Odds are the theoretical American odds implied by our calibrated probability. They are not sportsbook prices.
MilestoneProbabilityFair Odds
PTS
- 15+ PTS23%+331
- 20+ PTS8%+1226
- 25+ PTS2%+6091
- 30+ PTS0%+44899
- 35+ PTS0%+99900
- 40+ PTS0%+99900
REB