Based on 54 opposing PF performances across 20 recent games.
Research
PTS Β· Last 10
Stat
Period
Split
Situation (Rest)
Playing Time
Role
4.1
Average PTS
9
Games
15
High PTS
2
Low PTS
Historical Hit RateModel
15+ PTS
11%
1/9 historical
0%
model
20+ PTS
0%
0/9 historical
0%
model
25+ PTS
0%
0/9 historical
0%
model
30+ PTS
0%
0/9 historical
0%
model
35+ PTS
0%
0/9 historical
0%
model
40+ PTS
0%
0/9 historical
0%
model
Historical = actual results in the selected games. Model = the projection engine's calibrated probability for tonight β two different things, never combined.
Why This Projection
πMinutes
Blending in 0 current-season game(s) (30% last-10 + 70% season)+9.5
359mi travel, 150 day rest-0.0
No minutes β team's 240-minute regulation budget already spoken for by the rotation ahead-9.4
πPTS
Season/recent-form rate x minutes+0.0
Projection Distribution Β· PTS
Model projection rangenot a guarantee
0.07.4
0.0
P10
0.0
P25
0.0
Median
Projection Accuracy Β· PTS
ProjectedActual
Historical Model Performance
How the model's pregame projections have compared to this player's actual results in 1 evaluated game.
PTS
MAE0.0
Bias0.0
Median AE0.0
1 evaluated game
REB
MAE0.0
Bias0.0
Median AE0.0
1 evaluated game
AST
MAE0.0
Bias0.0
Median AE0.0
1 evaluated game
MilestonesModel probability & fair odds
βΎ
Model Fair Odds are the theoretical American odds implied by our calibrated probability. They are not sportsbook prices.
MilestoneProbabilityFair Odds
PTS
15+ PTS0%+21213
20+ PTS0%+99900
25+ PTS0%+99900
30+ PTS0%+99900
35+ PTS0%+99900
40+ PTS0%+99900
REB
3.9
P75
7.4
P90
PRA
MAE0.0
Bias0.0
Median AE0.0
1 evaluated game
Small sample β only 1 evaluated game for this player. These numbers will become more reliable as more of their games are evaluated.