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IND@
NOP
Jalen Slawson
F · Indiana Pacers
6'7"· 215 lbs· 26 years old
INDNOPWed, Oct 21 · 12:00 AM
View game →Montolo Projects
5.0
PTS
3.9
REB
2.1
AST
0.6
3PM
23.9
MIN
11.0
PRA
1.3
STL
0.7
BLK
0.9
TOV
3.9
PF
52%Projection Support
Minutes20%Role100%Availability65%Stat Stability0%Recent Sample100%
Matchup Context
Position Environment
NOP vs PF
How NOP has defended the PF position recently.
11.0
PTS allowed
5.0
REB allowed
2.4
AST allowed
1.1
3PM allowed
Based on 70 opposing PF performances across 20 recent games.
Research
PTS · Last 10
Stat
Period
Split
Situation (Rest)
Playing Time
Role
8.2
Average PTS
10
Games
19
High PTS
0
Low PTS
Historical Hit RateModel
15+ PTS
20%
2/10 historical
11%
model
20+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
3%
model
25+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
1%
model
30+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
35+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
40+ PTS
0%
0/10 historical
0%
model
Historical = actual results in the selected games. Model = the projection engine's calibrated probability for tonight — two different things, never combined.
Recent Role20 games
CreationNot enough data0.13
Offensive LoadNot enough data0.10
Frontcourt LoadNot enough data0.02
Not enough historical data to compare recent role against this player's own baseline.
Sample: 20 games · Updated Sep 14. Describes role, not player quality — not a projection input.
Why This Projection
Minutes
- Blending in 0 current-season game(s) (30% last-10 + 70% season)+24.0
- 714mi travel, 192 day rest-0.1
PTS
- Season/recent-form rate x minutes+4.8
- Team pace vs. league average+0.1
- Opponent defensive rating+0.1
Projection Distribution · PTS
Model projection rangenot a guarantee
0.015.3
0.0
P10
0.0
P25
Projection Accuracy · PTS
ProjectedActual
Historical Model Performance
How the model's pregame projections have compared to this player's actual results in 10 evaluated games.
PTS
MAE0.7
Bias+0.1
Median AE0.5
10 evaluated games
REB
MAE0.8
Bias-0.1
Median AE0.9
10 evaluated games
AST
MAE0.4
MilestonesModel probability & fair odds▾
Model Fair Odds are the theoretical American odds implied by our calibrated probability. They are not sportsbook prices.
MilestoneProbabilityFair Odds
PTS
- 15+ PTS11%+837
- 20+ PTS3%+3126
- 25+ PTS1%+15488
- 30+ PTS0%+99900
- 35+ PTS0%+99900
- 40+ PTS0%+99900
REB